Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Internet Initiative Japan Inc. (3774.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,199.57 - $25,176.54$23,594.11
Multi-Stage$3,515.26 - $3,848.29$3,678.71
Blended Fair Value$13,636.41
Current Price$2,618.50
Upside420.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS38.19%19.76%34.5231.9827.5821.598.636.856.856.856.345.69
YoY Growth--7.95%15.94%27.76%150.20%25.98%0.02%0.01%8.07%11.38%0.01%
Dividend Yield--1.21%1.35%1.02%0.91%0.50%0.75%1.36%1.23%1.24%1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,492.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,192.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)16,300.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,498.402,811.501,686.90
Cash Retained (M)16,300.0016,300.0016,300.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,498.40-2,811.50-1,686.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,801.6013,488.5014,613.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)177.67177.67177.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share66.4275.9282.25
LTM Dividend per Share34.8534.8534.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share66.4275.9282.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend101.28110.77117.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9,199.57$23,594.11$25,176.54
Upside / Downside251.33%801.05%861.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,492.0023,953.9825,510.9927,169.2028,935.2030,815.9931,740.47
Payout Ratio27.53%40.02%52.52%65.01%77.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,192.009,587.3013,397.8317,663.2222,426.5027,734.3929,359.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8,904.148,988.549,072.94
Year 2 PV (M)11,556.4711,776.5911,998.79
Year 3 PV (M)14,150.0014,556.1914,970.09
Year 4 PV (M)16,685.6617,327.3517,987.36
Year 5 PV (M)19,164.4320,090.0821,051.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)554,092.75580,855.63608,642.80
Equity Value (M)624,553.45653,594.38683,723.13
Shares Outstanding (M)177.67177.67177.67
Fair Value$3,515.26$3,678.71$3,848.29
Upside / Downside34.25%40.49%46.97%

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