Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ACES Electronics Co., Ltd. (3605.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$701.73 - $826.98$774.89
Multi-Stage$493.29 - $542.16$517.26
Blended Fair Value$646.08
Current Price$71.50
Upside803.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.461.270.540.580.540.310.460.310.93
YoY Growth---100.00%-63.33%135.30%-6.67%7.14%75.00%-33.33%49.36%-66.70%71.55%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.22%4.03%1.15%1.30%2.90%1.24%1.78%1.21%2.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)671.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)111.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)560.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134.3483.9650.38
Cash Retained (M)560.17560.17560.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-134.34-83.96-50.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)425.83476.21509.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)159.24159.24159.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.672.993.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.700.700.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.672.993.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.373.693.90
WACC / Discount Rate0.39%0.39%0.39%
Growth Rate3.97%4.97%5.97%
Fair Value$701.73$774.89$826.98
Upside / Downside881.43%983.77%1,056.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)671.71705.09740.13776.91815.52856.05881.73
Payout Ratio16.60%31.28%45.96%60.64%75.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)111.53220.58340.18471.13614.26770.44815.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.39%0.39%0.39%
Growth Rate3.97%4.97%5.97%
Year 1 PV (M)217.62219.72221.81
Year 2 PV (M)331.14337.54344.00
Year 3 PV (M)452.46465.65479.08
Year 4 PV (M)582.02604.74628.11
Year 5 PV (M)720.24755.55792.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,245.0379,982.9483,866.04
Equity Value (M)78,548.5182,366.1286,331.26
Shares Outstanding (M)159.24159.24159.24
Fair Value$493.29$517.26$542.16
Upside / Downside589.91%623.44%658.27%

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