Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Kyochon Food&Beverage Co., Ltd. (339770.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,409.55 - $3,686.35$3,006.26
Multi-Stage$5,217.66 - $5,740.45$5,473.93
Blended Fair Value$4,240.09
Current Price$5,280.00
Upside-19.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS23.59%0.00%115.3699.96149.9599.960.0040.0140.010.000.000.00
YoY Growth--15.40%-33.33%50.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.98%2.45%3.32%1.31%0.00%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,427.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,535.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,892.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,685.591,678.491,007.09
Cash Retained (M)6,892.426,892.426,892.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,685.59-1,678.49-1,007.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,206.845,213.935,885.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.9849.9849.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share84.17104.31117.75
LTM Dividend per Share130.75130.75130.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share84.17104.31117.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend214.92235.07248.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,409.55$3,006.26$3,686.35
Upside / Downside-54.36%-43.06%-30.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,427.9313,293.6513,160.7113,029.1012,898.8112,769.8213,152.92
Payout Ratio48.67%56.94%65.20%73.47%81.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,535.517,568.988,581.129,572.2710,542.7411,492.8412,166.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7,019.347,090.977,162.59
Year 2 PV (M)7,380.107,531.497,684.41
Year 3 PV (M)7,634.717,870.828,111.74
Year 4 PV (M)7,798.128,121.328,454.46
Year 5 PV (M)7,883.578,294.098,721.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)223,078.64234,694.86246,790.03
Equity Value (M)260,794.49273,603.54286,924.76
Shares Outstanding (M)49.9849.9849.98
Fair Value$5,217.66$5,473.93$5,740.45
Upside / Downside-1.18%3.67%8.72%

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