Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sunshine Global Circuits Co.,Ltd. (300739.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.52 - $33.61$31.49
Multi-Stage$21.93 - $24.08$22.99
Blended Fair Value$27.24
Current Price$16.29
Upside67.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.97%53.03%0.220.360.280.300.220.230.130.100.060.18
YoY Growth---39.06%27.24%-5.09%36.10%-4.90%76.09%29.46%75.32%-67.29%5,554.79%
Dividend Yield--1.64%2.67%1.81%2.10%1.49%1.35%0.79%0.54%0.40%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.376.483.89
Cash Retained (M)1.921.921.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.37-6.48-3.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.45-4.56-1.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)303.42303.42303.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.02-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.02-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate-0.90%-0.90%-0.90%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Fair Value$28.52$31.49$33.61
Upside / Downside75.08%93.33%106.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51.8754.6057.4960.5263.7267.0869.09
Payout Ratio96.29%95.03%93.78%92.52%91.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.9451.8953.9155.9958.1560.3763.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.90%-0.90%-0.90%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Year 1 PV (M)51.8752.3652.86
Year 2 PV (M)53.8554.8955.94
Year 3 PV (M)55.9157.5359.19
Year 4 PV (M)58.0360.2962.61
Year 5 PV (M)60.2263.1666.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,374.856,686.447,010.09
Equity Value (M)6,654.736,974.687,306.91
Shares Outstanding (M)303.42303.42303.42
Fair Value$21.93$22.99$24.08
Upside / Downside34.64%41.11%47.83%

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