Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Chengdu CORPRO Technology Co., Ltd. (300101.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.42 - $15.92$6.03
Multi-Stage$2.19 - $2.39$2.29
Blended Fair Value$4.16
Current Price$24.62
Upside-83.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.12%26.07%0.020.020.060.020.010.030.010.000.050.02
YoY Growth---4.39%-72.20%283.04%21.54%-57.64%141.33%177.12%-90.97%107.46%1,445.27%
Dividend Yield--0.09%0.10%0.21%0.10%0.08%0.33%0.10%0.03%0.28%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)61.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.377.734.64
Cash Retained (M)14.4314.4314.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.37-7.73-4.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.066.709.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)569.30569.30569.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.10
WACC / Discount Rate8.18%8.18%8.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3.42$6.03$15.92
Upside / Downside-86.10%-75.51%-35.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)61.8465.8670.1474.7079.5584.7287.27
Payout Ratio76.66%79.33%82.00%84.67%87.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.4152.2557.5163.2469.4876.2580.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.18%8.18%8.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)47.8448.3048.75
Year 2 PV (M)48.2349.1550.07
Year 3 PV (M)48.5649.9651.38
Year 4 PV (M)48.8550.7352.66
Year 5 PV (M)49.1051.4753.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,003.631,052.111,102.44
Equity Value (M)1,246.221,301.711,359.23
Shares Outstanding (M)569.30569.30569.30
Fair Value$2.19$2.29$2.39
Upside / Downside-91.11%-90.71%-90.30%

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