Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Bestway Marine & Energy Technology Co.,Ltd (300008.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.90 - $18.21$8.21
Multi-Stage$3.06 - $3.34$3.20
Blended Fair Value$5.70
Current Price$6.28
Upside-9.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.37%8.94%0.020.010.000.010.020.010.010.020.010.01
YoY Growth--154.02%92.46%-28.08%-67.77%38.11%35.85%-55.00%87.83%63.57%-19.92%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.22%0.10%0.13%0.37%1.01%0.42%0.55%0.19%0.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)293.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)256.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.7036.6822.01
Cash Retained (M)256.49256.49256.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.70-36.68-22.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)197.79219.81234.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,728.141,728.141,728.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate8.43%8.43%8.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.90$8.21$18.21
Upside / Downside-22.03%30.76%190.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)293.48312.55332.87354.51377.55402.09414.15
Payout Ratio12.60%28.08%43.56%59.04%74.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.9987.77145.01209.31281.35361.88383.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.43%8.43%8.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)80.1980.9581.71
Year 2 PV (M)121.04123.34125.67
Year 3 PV (M)159.62164.20168.87
Year 4 PV (M)196.02203.56211.32
Year 5 PV (M)230.35241.48253.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,493.154,710.184,935.50
Equity Value (M)5,280.375,523.715,776.09
Shares Outstanding (M)1,728.141,728.141,728.14
Fair Value$3.06$3.20$3.34
Upside / Downside-51.35%-49.10%-46.78%

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