Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry Co., Ltd. (2421.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$587.30 - $1,438.35$1,347.95
Multi-Stage$211.47 - $231.34$221.22
Blended Fair Value$784.58
Current Price$126.50
Upside520.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.78%14.32%3.502.391.102.201.841.842.111.841.381.10
YoY Growth--46.69%116.67%-50.00%20.00%0.00%-13.04%15.00%33.33%25.00%20.00%
Dividend Yield--3.99%1.78%2.10%5.12%3.47%5.84%5.93%4.09%4.58%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,977.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,011.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)966.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)395.59247.25148.35
Cash Retained (M)966.23966.23966.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-395.59-247.25-148.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)570.64718.99817.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)273.49273.49273.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.092.632.99
LTM Dividend per Share3.703.703.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.092.632.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.796.336.69
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$587.30$1,347.95$1,438.35
Upside / Downside364.27%965.57%1,037.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,977.972,106.542,243.472,389.292,544.602,710.002,791.30
Payout Ratio51.15%58.92%66.69%74.46%82.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,011.741,241.181,496.171,779.072,092.422,439.002,581.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,154.061,165.001,175.94
Year 2 PV (M)1,293.501,318.141,343.01
Year 3 PV (M)1,430.121,471.171,513.00
Year 4 PV (M)1,563.941,624.091,685.95
Year 5 PV (M)1,695.021,776.891,861.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,697.3953,146.1055,688.52
Equity Value (M)57,834.0360,501.3863,268.31
Shares Outstanding (M)273.49273.49273.49
Fair Value$211.47$221.22$231.34
Upside / Downside67.17%74.88%82.88%

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