Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Lygend Resources & Technology Co., Ltd. (2245.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.41 - $32.28$26.54
Multi-Stage$42.80 - $47.09$44.91
Blended Fair Value$35.72
Current Price$9.32
Upside283.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.610.300.040.540.120.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--104.19%596.05%-92.00%342.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.01%5.51%0.30%4.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,912.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,419.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,492.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)782.48489.05293.43
Cash Retained (M)2,492.512,492.512,492.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-782.48-489.05-293.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,710.032,003.462,199.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,555.931,555.931,555.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.101.291.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.101.291.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.012.202.33
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$21.41$26.54$32.28
Upside / Downside129.76%184.80%246.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,912.403,873.283,834.543,796.203,758.233,720.653,832.27
Payout Ratio36.29%47.03%57.78%68.52%79.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,419.891,821.742,215.422,601.032,978.723,348.593,544.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,682.121,699.291,716.45
Year 2 PV (M)1,888.851,927.591,966.73
Year 3 PV (M)2,047.662,110.992,175.61
Year 4 PV (M)2,165.272,255.012,347.52
Year 5 PV (M)2,247.582,364.622,486.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)56,566.6159,512.1762,579.17
Equity Value (M)66,598.1169,869.6873,271.96
Shares Outstanding (M)1,555.931,555.931,555.93
Fair Value$42.80$44.91$47.09
Upside / Downside359.26%381.82%405.28%

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