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Definitive Analysis

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Chong Kun Dang Pharmaceutical Corp. (185750.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$377,957.32 - $919,664.34$861,860.17
Multi-Stage$132,894.01 - $145,526.18$139,093.79
Blended Fair Value$500,476.98
Current Price$82,900.00
Upside503.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.57%16.80%1,010.85880.23852.20819.56703.45670.23641.75641.75427.83570.44
YoY Growth--14.84%3.29%3.98%16.50%4.96%4.44%0.00%50.00%-25.00%166.67%
Dividend Yield--1.30%0.83%1.21%0.96%0.62%1.01%0.82%0.71%0.57%0.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60,985.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,823.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)47,161.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,197.147,623.214,573.93
Cash Retained (M)47,161.7747,161.7747,161.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,197.14-7,623.21-4,573.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)34,964.6339,538.5642,587.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.1913.1913.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,651.252,998.073,229.29
LTM Dividend per Share1,048.221,048.221,048.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,651.252,998.073,229.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,699.474,046.294,277.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$377,957.32$861,860.17$919,664.34
Upside / Downside355.92%939.64%1,009.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60,985.7164,949.7869,171.5273,667.6778,456.0783,555.7186,062.38
Payout Ratio22.67%36.13%49.60%63.07%76.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,823.9423,468.9634,309.4246,459.9960,045.1775,200.1479,607.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)21,822.9822,029.8322,236.68
Year 2 PV (M)29,665.6430,230.6930,801.06
Year 3 PV (M)37,354.2138,426.5239,519.15
Year 4 PV (M)44,890.9546,617.3348,393.03
Year 5 PV (M)52,278.0654,803.1157,424.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,566,594.351,642,261.441,720,824.49
Equity Value (M)1,752,606.181,834,368.911,919,199.21
Shares Outstanding (M)13.1913.1913.19
Fair Value$132,894.01$139,093.79$145,526.18
Upside / Downside60.31%67.79%75.54%

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