Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (1788.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.50 - $0.69$0.60
Multi-Stage$1.40 - $1.55$1.47
Blended Fair Value$1.03
Current Price$3.43
Upside-69.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-15.16%-6.13%0.020.020.050.100.050.050.060.070.050.06
YoY Growth--4.99%-58.15%-50.70%87.44%8.22%-20.26%-4.54%29.24%-9.98%36.45%
Dividend Yield--1.97%3.55%6.96%9.41%5.21%3.63%4.98%2.59%2.13%2.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)979.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)316.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)663.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)195.94122.4673.48
Cash Retained (M)663.03663.03663.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-195.94-122.46-73.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)467.09540.56589.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9,544.979,544.979,544.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.090.09
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate-8.13%-7.13%-6.13%
Fair Value$0.50$0.60$0.69
Upside / Downside-85.35%-82.64%-80.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)979.71909.82844.92784.65728.67676.69696.99
Payout Ratio32.32%43.86%55.39%66.93%78.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)316.68399.04468.04525.16571.75609.02644.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate-8.13%-7.13%-6.13%
Year 1 PV (M)369.36373.38377.40
Year 2 PV (M)400.99409.77418.64
Year 3 PV (M)416.46430.21444.26
Year 4 PV (M)419.68438.26457.44
Year 5 PV (M)413.79436.80460.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,308.8511,937.9112,594.64
Equity Value (M)13,329.1414,026.3314,753.22
Shares Outstanding (M)9,544.979,544.979,544.97
Fair Value$1.40$1.47$1.55
Upside / Downside-59.29%-57.16%-54.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 12 of 30 Next »
Ticker ⇵ Company ⇵ Dividend Yield % ▼ Dividend Per Share ⇵ Payout Ratio % ⇵
SOThe Southern Company3.09%$2.6967.01%
CFRCullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.3.08%$3.9439.68%
CMSCMS Energy Corporation3.08%$2.1762.27%
SJWSJW Group3.08%$1.6052.08%
SNVSynovus Financial Corp.3.08%$1.5427.05%
0HCT.LAlliant Energy Corporation3.07%$1.9962.84%
0M3L.LZions Bancorporation, National Association3.07%$1.7931.01%
IVZInvesco Ltd.3.07%$0.8335.83%
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.3.07%$2.4638.44%
PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group Incorporated3.06%$2.4859.65%
CASSCass Information Systems, Inc.3.05%$1.2452.58%
CIVBCivista Bancshares, Inc.3.05%$0.6725.26%
TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated3.05%$5.4198.14%
CTRECareTrust REIT, Inc.3.04%$1.1089.62%
UCBUnited Community Banks, Inc.3.04%$0.9536.76%
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.3.03%$5.6860.69%
HMNHorace Mann Educators Corporation3.02%$1.3634.55%
VGVenture Global, Inc.3.02%$0.2124.09%
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana3.01%$0.5435.96%
TOWNTowneBank3.01%$1.0045.24%
GBCIGlacier Bancorp, Inc.3.00%$1.3464.06%
MBWMMercantile Bank Corporation3.00%$1.4327.14%
PPLPPL Corporation3.00%$1.0571.70%
DTSQDT Cloud Star Acquisition Corporation2.99%$0.3287.02%
EBMTEagle Bancorp Montana, Inc.2.99%$0.5833.76%
INDBIndependent Bank Corp.2.99%$2.1935.86%
ESSAESSA Bancorp, Inc.2.98%$0.6139.75%
RDNRadian Group Inc.2.98%$1.0725.60%
0K0X.LMetLife, Inc.2.96%$2.3641.08%
CUBBCustomers Bancorp, Inc 5.375% S2.96%$0.6612.54%
HBBHamilton Beach Brands Holding Company2.96%$0.4720.02%
SDSandRidge Energy, Inc.2.96%$0.4424.38%
STRWStrawberry Fields REIT LLC2.95%$0.3870.76%
INGRIngredion Incorporated2.94%$3.2332.02%
JWNNordstrom, Inc.2.94%$0.7342.03%
PKBKParke Bancorp, Inc.2.94%$0.7125.08%
0JW2.LM&T Bank Corporation2.93%$5.9133.38%
EIGEmployers Holdings, Inc.2.93%$1.2648.48%
MYEMyers Industries, Inc.2.93%$0.5573.41%
RMRegional Management Corp.2.93%$1.1528.16%
HSYThe Hershey Company2.92%$5.3379.75%
STZConstellation Brands, Inc.2.92%$4.1259.24%
AROCArchrock, Inc.2.91%$0.7751.05%
JXNJackson Financial Inc.2.91%$3.1338.19%
OSPNOneSpan Inc.2.91%$0.3623.87%
0LC6.LSysco Corporation2.90%$2.1055.57%
EXEExpand Energy Corporation2.89%$3.1787.89%
PGThe Procter & Gamble Company2.89%$4.0959.50%
RESRPC, Inc.2.89%$0.1672.96%
0M1R.LXcel Energy Inc.2.88%$2.1665.69%