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Definitive Analysis

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AirTAC International Group (1590.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,195.15 - $7,825.35$7,333.50
Multi-Stage$1,146.26 - $1,254.20$1,199.24
Blended Fair Value$4,266.37
Current Price$753.00
Upside466.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.35%12.84%17.9713.4313.378.564.564.776.764.923.584.09
YoY Growth--33.75%0.45%56.30%87.49%-4.42%-29.41%37.51%37.45%-12.50%-23.81%
Dividend Yield--2.16%1.17%1.13%0.92%0.46%1.07%1.62%0.99%1.23%2.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,873.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,594.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,278.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,574.66984.16590.50
Cash Retained (M)4,278.354,278.354,278.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,574.66-984.16-590.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,703.693,294.193,687.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.09200.09200.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.5116.4618.43
LTM Dividend per Share17.9717.9717.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.5116.4618.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend31.4834.4336.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,195.15$7,333.50$7,825.35
Upside / Downside324.32%873.90%939.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,873.318,385.078,930.109,510.5610,128.7510,787.1211,110.73
Payout Ratio45.66%54.53%63.40%72.26%81.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,594.964,572.225,661.336,872.718,217.669,708.4010,277.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,251.284,291.584,331.87
Year 2 PV (M)4,894.454,987.685,081.78
Year 3 PV (M)5,524.675,683.265,844.86
Year 4 PV (M)6,142.136,378.336,621.29
Year 5 PV (M)6,747.017,072.897,411.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)201,799.51211,546.50221,666.53
Equity Value (M)229,359.04239,960.24250,957.59
Shares Outstanding (M)200.09200.09200.09
Fair Value$1,146.26$1,199.24$1,254.20
Upside / Downside52.23%59.26%66.56%

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