Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HMS Networks AB (publ) (0RPZ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$449.80 - $1,731.26$1,280.64
Multi-Stage$208.20 - $228.08$217.96
Blended Fair Value$749.30
Current Price$413.80
Upside81.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.81%24.37%4.473.712.781.850.001.671.390.930.580.56
YoY Growth--20.56%33.37%49.94%0.00%-100.00%20.05%49.61%60.08%3.38%11.12%
Dividend Yield--1.01%0.78%0.66%0.42%0.00%1.36%0.82%0.78%0.70%1.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)438.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)433.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.6054.7532.85
Cash Retained (M)433.69433.69433.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.60-54.75-32.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)346.09378.94400.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.3150.3150.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.887.537.97
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.887.537.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.967.628.05
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$449.80$1,280.64$1,731.26
Upside / Downside8.70%209.48%318.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)438.00466.47496.79529.08563.47600.10618.10
Payout Ratio0.98%18.79%36.59%54.39%72.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.3187.64181.78287.79406.81540.09571.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)81.0381.8082.57
Year 2 PV (M)155.42158.38161.36
Year 3 PV (M)227.51234.04240.70
Year 4 PV (M)297.37308.81320.57
Year 5 PV (M)365.05382.68400.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,349.269,800.8310,269.69
Equity Value (M)10,475.6410,966.5411,475.88
Shares Outstanding (M)50.3150.3150.31
Fair Value$208.20$217.96$228.08
Upside / Downside-49.69%-47.33%-44.88%

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