Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Davide Campari-Milano N.V. (0ROY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.47 - $84.75$26.72
Multi-Stage$10.72 - $11.75$11.23
Blended Fair Value$18.97
Current Price$5.71
Upside232.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.39%5.41%0.060.060.060.050.050.050.050.040.040.04
YoY Growth--15.70%-0.15%9.74%-2.07%9.77%-0.35%10.36%0.00%14.00%-0.87%
Dividend Yield--1.07%0.55%0.59%0.40%0.56%0.58%0.64%0.68%0.93%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)521.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)156.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)365.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)104.3265.2039.12
Cash Retained (M)365.50365.50365.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-104.32-65.20-39.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)261.18300.30326.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,211.291,211.291,211.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Fair Value$14.47$26.72$84.75
Upside / Downside153.34%368.00%1,384.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)521.60549.71579.34610.56643.47678.15698.50
Payout Ratio29.93%41.94%53.96%65.97%77.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)156.10230.56312.59402.79501.81610.34646.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Year 1 PV (M)213.68215.73217.77
Year 2 PV (M)268.50273.66278.88
Year 3 PV (M)320.65329.95339.43
Year 4 PV (M)370.23384.62399.42
Year 5 PV (M)417.32437.70458.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,399.0911,955.6412,533.71
Equity Value (M)12,989.4613,597.2914,228.09
Shares Outstanding (M)1,211.291,211.291,211.29
Fair Value$10.72$11.23$11.75
Upside / Downside87.80%96.59%105.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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