Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hantech (098070.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84,011.61 - $230,189.33$129,770.67
Multi-Stage$310,421.03 - $343,095.28$326,429.97
Blended Fair Value$228,100.32
Current Price$42,650.00
Upside434.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%320.290.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36,287.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,970.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)32,317.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,257.574,535.982,721.59
Cash Retained (M)32,317.7132,317.7132,317.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,257.57-4,535.98-2,721.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)25,060.1427,781.7329,596.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.649.649.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,599.342,881.633,069.83
LTM Dividend per Share411.80411.80411.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,599.342,881.633,069.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,011.133,293.433,481.62
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$84,011.61$129,770.67$230,189.33
Upside / Downside96.98%204.27%439.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36,287.8635,924.9835,565.7335,210.0834,857.9734,509.3935,544.68
Payout Ratio10.94%26.75%42.56%58.38%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,970.159,610.8515,138.3520,554.3325,860.4831,058.4632,878.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9,372.029,467.659,563.29
Year 2 PV (M)14,395.3214,690.6014,988.87
Year 3 PV (M)19,059.7619,649.1920,250.66
Year 4 PV (M)23,384.1724,353.3425,352.32
Year 5 PV (M)27,386.5028,812.5830,297.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,899,165.393,050,131.663,207,322.37
Equity Value (M)2,992,763.163,147,105.023,307,774.97
Shares Outstanding (M)9.649.649.64
Fair Value$310,421.03$326,429.97$343,095.28
Upside / Downside627.83%665.37%704.44%

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