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Definitive Analysis

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TES Co., Ltd (095610.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$267,887.82 - $761,859.10$713,973.55
Multi-Stage$104,110.71 - $114,019.58$108,973.89
Blended Fair Value$411,473.72
Current Price$43,200.00
Upside852.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.71%27.74%499.96499.96591.92484.54328.10437.47444.31243.34123.1693.62
YoY Growth--0.00%-15.54%22.16%47.68%-25.00%-1.54%82.59%97.58%31.55%116.66%
Dividend Yield--2.30%2.34%2.72%1.77%0.96%2.25%2.38%0.80%0.53%0.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67,202.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,524.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)56,677.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,440.528,400.325,040.19
Cash Retained (M)56,677.8556,677.8556,677.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,440.52-8,400.32-5,040.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)43,237.3348,277.5251,637.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.5417.5417.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,464.722,752.032,943.57
LTM Dividend per Share599.96599.96599.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,464.722,752.032,943.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,064.683,351.993,543.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$267,887.82$713,973.55$761,859.10
Upside / Downside520.11%1,552.72%1,663.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67,202.5871,570.7576,222.8581,177.3386,453.8692,073.3694,835.56
Payout Ratio15.66%30.53%45.40%60.26%75.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,524.7421,849.8134,602.6848,921.1064,954.7282,866.0287,722.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20,284.2020,476.4720,668.73
Year 2 PV (M)29,821.5430,389.5630,962.93
Year 3 PV (M)39,140.5440,264.1341,409.01
Year 4 PV (M)48,244.9250,100.2852,008.65
Year 5 PV (M)57,138.3359,898.1362,763.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,631,732.591,710,545.881,792,375.55
Equity Value (M)1,826,362.121,911,674.452,000,188.43
Shares Outstanding (M)17.5417.5417.54
Fair Value$104,110.71$108,973.89$114,019.58
Upside / Downside141.00%152.25%163.93%

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