Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

LS Marine Solution Co Ltd (060370.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,224.54 - $13,215.98$8,839.95
Multi-Stage$4,712.74 - $5,138.07$4,921.59
Blended Fair Value$6,880.77
Current Price$22,300.00
Upside-69.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS44.87%5.05%118.9322.3018.6418.6418.6418.6431.0631.0631.0674.55
YoY Growth--433.33%19.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%-40.00%0.00%0.00%-58.33%2.56%
Dividend Yield--0.84%0.23%0.27%0.31%0.30%0.62%0.88%0.64%0.61%1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,964.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,011.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,952.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,192.821,370.51822.31
Cash Retained (M)5,952.425,952.425,952.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,192.82-1,370.51-822.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,759.604,581.915,130.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.0933.0933.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share113.63138.49155.06
LTM Dividend per Share151.48151.48151.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share113.63138.49155.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend265.11289.97306.54
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6,224.54$8,839.95$13,215.98
Upside / Downside-72.09%-60.36%-40.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,964.1011,676.7612,435.7513,244.0714,104.9415,021.7615,472.41
Payout Ratio45.71%54.57%63.43%72.28%81.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,011.686,371.777,887.499,573.3411,445.0313,519.5814,311.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,738.475,792.865,847.26
Year 2 PV (M)6,397.526,519.376,642.38
Year 3 PV (M)6,993.147,193.897,398.44
Year 4 PV (M)7,529.437,818.998,116.82
Year 5 PV (M)8,010.238,397.128,798.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)121,253.38127,109.96133,190.69
Equity Value (M)155,922.16162,832.20169,994.42
Shares Outstanding (M)33.0933.0933.09
Fair Value$4,712.74$4,921.59$5,138.07
Upside / Downside-78.87%-77.93%-76.96%

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