Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HD Hyundai Infracore Co., Ltd. (042670.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$739.04 - $964.19$857.67
Multi-Stage$2,345.31 - $2,614.26$2,476.77
Blended Fair Value$1,667.22
Current Price$12,640.00
Upside-86.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.47%2.46%113.94248.590.000.00152.84280.21278.90243.5094.94181.51
YoY Growth---54.17%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-45.45%0.47%14.54%156.49%-47.70%103.07%
Dividend Yield--1.35%2.97%0.00%0.00%0.54%3.55%1.52%1.00%0.40%1.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44,980.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,447.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)31,533.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,996.075,622.553,373.53
Cash Retained (M)31,533.3731,533.3731,533.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,996.07-5,622.55-3,373.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,537.2925,910.8228,159.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)192.64192.64192.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share116.99134.50146.18
LTM Dividend per Share69.8069.8069.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share116.99134.50146.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend186.80204.31215.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate-14.85%-13.85%-12.85%
Fair Value$739.04$857.67$964.19
Upside / Downside-94.15%-93.21%-92.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44,980.3738,748.5033,380.0328,755.3424,771.3921,339.4021,979.58
Payout Ratio29.90%41.92%53.94%65.96%77.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,447.0016,241.9018,004.2418,966.4819,316.5019,205.4620,331.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate-14.85%-13.85%-12.85%
Year 1 PV (M)15,050.0915,226.8515,403.61
Year 2 PV (M)15,458.9315,824.1816,193.69
Year 3 PV (M)15,090.1515,628.1016,178.69
Year 4 PV (M)14,240.9014,921.7915,626.82
Year 5 PV (M)13,120.0713,908.8314,735.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)378,839.98401,615.37425,473.21
Equity Value (M)451,800.11477,125.12503,611.09
Shares Outstanding (M)192.64192.64192.64
Fair Value$2,345.31$2,476.77$2,614.26
Upside / Downside-81.45%-80.41%-79.32%

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