Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Paradise Co., Ltd. (034230.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,953.02 - $17,927.11$14,064.77
Multi-Stage$18,846.21 - $20,736.64$19,773.08
Blended Fair Value$16,918.93
Current Price$10,320.00
Upside63.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.27%-13.09%97.350.000.000.0096.0496.0496.04288.12360.15482.15
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-66.67%-20.00%-25.30%21.79%
Dividend Yield--0.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.58%0.74%0.53%1.37%2.61%3.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87,078.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,634.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)78,443.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,415.7110,884.826,530.89
Cash Retained (M)78,443.7878,443.7878,443.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,415.71-10,884.82-6,530.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)61,028.0767,558.9671,912.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.7088.7088.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share688.05761.68810.77
LTM Dividend per Share97.3597.3597.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share688.05761.68810.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend785.40859.03908.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate-0.18%0.82%1.82%
Fair Value$10,953.02$14,064.77$17,927.11
Upside / Downside6.13%36.29%73.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87,078.5587,796.6388,520.6389,250.6089,986.5990,728.6593,450.50
Payout Ratio9.92%25.93%41.95%57.97%73.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,634.7822,768.1837,134.0951,735.3966,574.9781,655.7886,441.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate-0.18%0.82%1.82%
Year 1 PV (M)21,071.0421,282.1221,493.20
Year 2 PV (M)31,804.4732,444.8733,091.65
Year 3 PV (M)41,007.2542,252.0243,521.72
Year 4 PV (M)48,836.1850,822.6652,869.13
Year 5 PV (M)55,433.8858,266.6361,214.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,473,458.981,548,754.891,627,097.99
Equity Value (M)1,671,611.801,753,823.181,839,287.71
Shares Outstanding (M)88.7088.7088.70
Fair Value$18,846.21$19,773.08$20,736.64
Upside / Downside82.62%91.60%100.94%

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