Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Douzone Bizon Co., Ltd. (012510.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$117,627.85 - $512,537.30$282,817.78
Multi-Stage$59,557.14 - $65,164.99$62,309.70
Blended Fair Value$172,563.74
Current Price$88,900.00
Upside94.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.71%10.81%400.46252.76578.12589.62538.46459.42417.09302.39229.40208.55
YoY Growth--58.44%-56.28%-1.95%9.50%17.20%10.15%37.93%31.82%10.00%45.33%
Dividend Yield--0.73%0.58%1.65%1.27%0.55%0.57%0.91%0.52%0.93%0.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73,338.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,671.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)54,666.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14,667.659,167.285,500.37
Cash Retained (M)54,666.6354,666.6354,666.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-14,667.65-9,167.28-5,500.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)39,998.9845,499.3549,166.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.4628.4628.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,405.611,598.891,727.75
LTM Dividend per Share656.14656.14656.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,405.611,598.891,727.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,061.752,255.042,383.89
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$117,627.85$282,817.78$512,537.30
Upside / Downside32.31%218.13%476.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73,338.2678,105.2483,182.0888,588.9294,347.20100,479.77103,494.16
Payout Ratio25.46%38.37%51.28%64.18%77.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,671.6329,967.1742,652.2556,859.7772,734.0790,431.7995,732.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27,653.4927,915.6028,177.72
Year 2 PV (M)36,320.3637,012.1737,710.49
Year 3 PV (M)44,680.4545,963.0747,270.00
Year 4 PV (M)52,741.7454,770.0456,856.29
Year 5 PV (M)60,512.0563,434.8166,469.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,472,894.451,544,035.811,617,899.91
Equity Value (M)1,694,802.551,773,131.491,854,383.82
Shares Outstanding (M)28.4628.4628.46
Fair Value$59,557.14$62,309.70$65,164.99
Upside / Downside-33.01%-29.91%-26.70%

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