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Definitive Analysis

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Dongjin Semichem Co., Ltd. (005290.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$385,255.52 - $453,896.28$425,367.29
Multi-Stage$503,540.61 - $552,828.73$527,723.58
Blended Fair Value$476,545.43
Current Price$32,700.00
Upside1,357.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.88%9.48%122.12132.19112.09101.5390.6091.7791.3755.7254.9349.39
YoY Growth---7.62%17.93%10.41%12.05%-1.27%0.44%63.96%1.44%11.23%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.42%0.26%0.34%0.26%0.28%0.69%0.87%0.38%0.59%0.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)116,562.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,350.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)106,211.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,312.4114,570.268,742.15
Cash Retained (M)106,211.93106,211.93106,211.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,312.41-14,570.26-8,742.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)82,899.5291,641.6897,469.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.0751.0751.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,623.201,794.371,908.49
LTM Dividend per Share202.66202.66202.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,623.201,794.371,908.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,825.861,997.032,111.15
WACC / Discount Rate-10.38%-10.38%-10.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$385,255.52$425,367.29$453,896.28
Upside / Downside1,078.15%1,200.82%1,288.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)116,562.05124,138.58132,207.59140,801.08149,953.15159,700.11164,491.11
Payout Ratio8.88%25.10%41.33%57.55%73.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,350.1231,163.2454,638.3581,033.55110,629.28143,730.10152,154.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-10.38%-10.38%-10.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34,445.6034,772.0935,098.59
Year 2 PV (M)66,754.3668,025.8569,309.33
Year 3 PV (M)109,430.41112,571.76115,772.67
Year 4 PV (M)165,133.17171,483.72178,015.71
Year 5 PV (M)237,139.00248,592.90260,485.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,103,797.6726,316,320.4927,575,249.40
Equity Value (M)25,716,700.2026,951,766.8128,233,930.87
Shares Outstanding (M)51.0751.0751.07
Fair Value$503,540.61$527,723.58$552,828.73
Upside / Downside1,439.88%1,513.83%1,590.61%

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