Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hankook Cosmetics Manufacturing Co., Ltd (003350.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$154,195.84 - $374,387.60$229,255.87
Multi-Stage$105,568.46 - $115,468.37$110,428.16
Blended Fair Value$169,842.02
Current Price$56,400.00
Upside201.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%100.00100.000.000.00100.00100.00100.00100.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.20%0.39%0.00%0.00%0.28%0.40%0.28%0.24%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,731.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)725.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,006.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,146.313,216.441,929.87
Cash Retained (M)25,006.5325,006.5325,006.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,146.31-3,216.44-1,929.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)19,860.2321,790.0923,076.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.633.633.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share5,478.686,011.066,365.98
LTM Dividend per Share200.00200.00200.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share5,478.686,011.066,365.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,678.686,211.066,565.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$154,195.84$229,255.87$374,387.60
Upside / Downside173.40%306.48%563.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,731.5327,404.0829,185.3531,082.4033,102.7535,254.4336,312.06
Payout Ratio2.82%20.25%37.69%55.13%72.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)725.005,550.4411,000.1117,134.8024,020.5231,728.9933,588.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,026.565,074.215,121.85
Year 2 PV (M)9,021.639,193.469,366.92
Year 3 PV (M)12,726.5413,091.8813,464.13
Year 4 PV (M)16,156.8816,778.2317,417.33
Year 5 PV (M)19,327.4820,261.0021,230.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)320,426.59335,903.31351,972.37
Equity Value (M)382,685.68400,302.09418,572.86
Shares Outstanding (M)3.633.633.63
Fair Value$105,568.46$110,428.16$115,468.37
Upside / Downside87.18%95.79%104.73%

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