Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Xiamen Intretech Inc. (002925.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.76 - $60.03$19.62
Multi-Stage$30.18 - $33.32$31.72
Blended Fair Value$25.67
Current Price$20.09
Upside27.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.51%43.01%0.630.861.080.640.620.620.490.210.090.05
YoY Growth---26.80%-19.82%68.85%2.19%1.27%25.93%132.86%144.05%67.02%191.81%
Dividend Yield--4.00%5.42%5.17%2.60%1.66%2.31%1.51%0.42%0.45%0.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)257.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)146.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.5232.2019.32
Cash Retained (M)146.59146.59146.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.52-32.20-19.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)95.08114.39127.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)744.20744.20744.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate1.04%1.04%1.04%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Fair Value$10.76$19.62$60.03
Upside / Downside-46.46%-2.34%198.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)257.58256.31255.04253.78252.53251.28258.82
Payout Ratio43.09%52.47%61.85%71.24%80.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110.99134.49157.75180.78203.58226.16239.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.04%1.04%1.04%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Year 1 PV (M)131.76133.10134.44
Year 2 PV (M)151.42154.51157.63
Year 3 PV (M)170.01175.24180.58
Year 4 PV (M)187.58195.31203.28
Year 5 PV (M)204.15214.73225.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,611.7122,731.1823,896.56
Equity Value (M)22,456.6323,604.0724,798.23
Shares Outstanding (M)744.20744.20744.20
Fair Value$30.18$31.72$33.32
Upside / Downside50.20%57.88%65.86%

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