Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Zhejiang Viewshine Intelligent Meter Co.,Ltd (002849.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.84 - $2.93$2.33
Multi-Stage$2.21 - $2.42$2.31
Blended Fair Value$2.32
Current Price$15.15
Upside-84.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.13%3.83%0.060.030.030.030.030.030.050.040.040.00
YoY Growth--121.78%-4.72%0.00%0.09%-0.16%-36.34%9.09%10.76%2,080.62%-95.89%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.17%0.20%0.31%0.35%0.32%0.39%0.34%0.15%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.804.872.92
Cash Retained (M)26.4526.4526.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.80-4.87-2.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.6521.5823.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)223.64223.64223.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate1.85%2.85%3.85%
Fair Value$1.84$2.33$2.93
Upside / Downside-87.86%-84.60%-80.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.9940.1041.2442.4243.6244.8746.21
Payout Ratio32.16%43.72%55.29%66.86%78.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.5417.5322.8028.3634.2140.3842.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate1.85%2.85%3.85%
Year 1 PV (M)15.8416.0016.16
Year 2 PV (M)18.6218.9919.36
Year 3 PV (M)20.9321.5622.19
Year 4 PV (M)22.8223.7324.67
Year 5 PV (M)24.3525.5626.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)392.01411.63432.04
Equity Value (M)494.58517.48541.25
Shares Outstanding (M)223.64223.64223.64
Fair Value$2.21$2.31$2.42
Upside / Downside-85.40%-84.73%-84.03%

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