Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Giant Network Group Co., Ltd. (002558.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.04 - $13.63$11.21
Multi-Stage$11.66 - $12.78$12.21
Blended Fair Value$11.71
Current Price$45.18
Upside-74.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.20%52.99%0.240.320.180.180.150.200.240.200.000.00
YoY Growth---24.19%79.20%-1.56%21.99%-24.71%-16.11%19.52%313,062.81%145.92%-99.26%
Dividend Yield--1.73%2.58%1.36%1.80%1.03%1.19%1.04%0.62%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,770.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)256.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,514.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)354.18221.36132.82
Cash Retained (M)1,514.771,514.771,514.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-354.18-221.36-132.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,160.581,293.401,381.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,718.801,718.801,718.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.750.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.750.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.900.95
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate0.59%1.59%2.59%
Fair Value$9.04$11.21$13.63
Upside / Downside-79.99%-75.20%-69.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,770.921,799.161,827.861,857.011,886.631,916.731,974.23
Payout Ratio14.46%29.57%44.68%59.79%74.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)256.15532.04816.661,110.231,412.951,725.051,826.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate0.59%1.59%2.59%
Year 1 PV (M)479.92484.69489.46
Year 2 PV (M)664.50677.78691.19
Year 3 PV (M)814.88839.42864.46
Year 4 PV (M)935.48973.241,012.13
Year 5 PV (M)1,030.231,082.471,136.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,113.3716,930.3517,780.15
Equity Value (M)20,038.3920,987.9621,974.18
Shares Outstanding (M)1,718.801,718.801,718.80
Fair Value$11.66$12.21$12.78
Upside / Downside-74.20%-72.97%-71.70%

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