Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Co., Ltd. (001213.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.19 - $1.84$1.49
Multi-Stage$2.73 - $3.01$2.87
Blended Fair Value$2.18
Current Price$4.17
Upside-47.74%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.060.040.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--56.76%58.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.45%0.91%0.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)566.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)271.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)295.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.3570.8442.51
Cash Retained (M)295.65295.65295.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.35-70.84-42.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)182.29224.80253.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,444.614,444.614,444.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.19$1.49$1.84
Upside / Downside-71.45%-64.19%-55.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)566.76561.09555.48549.92544.42538.98555.15
Payout Ratio47.84%56.27%64.70%73.13%81.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)271.11315.72359.40402.18444.07485.08513.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)293.74296.73299.73
Year 2 PV (M)311.10317.48323.93
Year 3 PV (M)323.89333.91344.13
Year 4 PV (M)332.73346.52360.73
Year 5 PV (M)338.15355.76374.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,535.9711,084.6111,655.86
Equity Value (M)12,135.5812,735.0113,358.47
Shares Outstanding (M)4,444.614,444.614,444.61
Fair Value$2.73$2.87$3.01
Upside / Downside-34.52%-31.29%-27.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 12 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SOThe Southern Company3.09%$2.6967.01%
CFRCullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.3.08%$3.9439.68%
CMSCMS Energy Corporation3.08%$2.1762.27%
SJWSJW Group3.08%$1.6052.08%
SNVSynovus Financial Corp.3.08%$1.5427.05%
0HCT.LAlliant Energy Corporation3.07%$1.9962.84%
0M3L.LZions Bancorporation, National Association3.07%$1.7931.01%
IVZInvesco Ltd.3.07%$0.8335.83%
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.3.07%$2.4638.44%
PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group Incorporated3.06%$2.4859.65%
CASSCass Information Systems, Inc.3.05%$1.2452.58%
CIVBCivista Bancshares, Inc.3.05%$0.6725.26%
TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated3.05%$5.4198.14%
CTRECareTrust REIT, Inc.3.04%$1.1089.62%
UCBUnited Community Banks, Inc.3.04%$0.9536.76%
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.3.03%$5.6860.69%
HMNHorace Mann Educators Corporation3.02%$1.3634.55%
VGVenture Global, Inc.3.02%$0.2124.09%
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana3.01%$0.5435.96%
TOWNTowneBank3.01%$1.0045.24%
GBCIGlacier Bancorp, Inc.3.00%$1.3464.06%
MBWMMercantile Bank Corporation3.00%$1.4327.14%
PPLPPL Corporation3.00%$1.0571.70%
DTSQDT Cloud Star Acquisition Corporation2.99%$0.3287.02%
EBMTEagle Bancorp Montana, Inc.2.99%$0.5833.76%
INDBIndependent Bank Corp.2.99%$2.1935.86%
ESSAESSA Bancorp, Inc.2.98%$0.6139.75%
RDNRadian Group Inc.2.98%$1.0725.60%
0K0X.LMetLife, Inc.2.96%$2.3641.08%
CUBBCustomers Bancorp, Inc 5.375% S2.96%$0.6612.54%
HBBHamilton Beach Brands Holding Company2.96%$0.4720.02%
SDSandRidge Energy, Inc.2.96%$0.4424.38%
STRWStrawberry Fields REIT LLC2.95%$0.3870.76%
INGRIngredion Incorporated2.94%$3.2332.02%
JWNNordstrom, Inc.2.94%$0.7342.03%
PKBKParke Bancorp, Inc.2.94%$0.7125.08%
0JW2.LM&T Bank Corporation2.93%$5.9133.38%
EIGEmployers Holdings, Inc.2.93%$1.2648.48%
MYEMyers Industries, Inc.2.93%$0.5573.41%
RMRegional Management Corp.2.93%$1.1528.16%
HSYThe Hershey Company2.92%$5.3379.75%
STZConstellation Brands, Inc.2.92%$4.1259.24%
AROCArchrock, Inc.2.91%$0.7751.05%
JXNJackson Financial Inc.2.91%$3.1338.19%
OSPNOneSpan Inc.2.91%$0.3623.87%
0LC6.LSysco Corporation2.90%$2.1055.57%
EXEExpand Energy Corporation2.89%$3.1787.89%
PGThe Procter & Gamble Company2.89%$4.0959.50%
RESRPC, Inc.2.89%$0.1672.96%
0M1R.LXcel Energy Inc.2.88%$2.1665.69%