Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Inner Mongolia Xingye Mining Co., Ltd. (000426.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.26 - $46.34$28.55
Multi-Stage$13.45 - $14.69$14.06
Blended Fair Value$21.30
Current Price$32.89
Upside-35.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.96%34.82%0.130.020.080.080.090.090.020.020.150.34
YoY Growth--658.22%-77.70%-4.68%-9.78%0.86%334.26%-0.49%-85.82%-56.45%4,969.23%
Dividend Yield--0.98%0.16%0.97%1.09%1.38%1.72%0.32%0.21%1.78%4.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,594.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,333.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)318.82199.26119.56
Cash Retained (M)1,333.561,333.561,333.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-318.82-199.26-119.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,014.741,134.301,214.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,782.801,782.801,782.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.570.640.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.570.640.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.780.83
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19.26$28.55$46.34
Upside / Downside-41.45%-13.20%40.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,594.091,697.711,808.061,925.582,050.752,184.042,249.57
Payout Ratio16.34%31.07%45.81%60.54%75.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.53527.56828.201,165.701,543.571,965.642,080.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)477.62482.15486.67
Year 2 PV (M)678.83691.76704.81
Year 3 PV (M)865.01889.84915.14
Year 4 PV (M)1,036.981,076.861,117.88
Year 5 PV (M)1,195.531,253.281,313.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,717.4620,669.8221,658.63
Equity Value (M)23,971.4325,063.7026,196.37
Shares Outstanding (M)1,782.801,782.801,782.80
Fair Value$13.45$14.06$14.69
Upside / Downside-59.12%-57.26%-55.32%

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