Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Westpac Banking Corporation (WBC.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$618.52 - $728.72$682.92
Multi-Stage$162.07 - $177.43$169.61
Blended Fair Value$426.26
Current Price$38.97
Upside993.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.68%1.85%1.371.491.191.140.750.661.311.521.281.42
YoY Growth---7.73%25.49%3.85%52.39%13.03%-49.41%-13.73%19.22%-10.42%24.47%
Dividend Yield--3.53%4.70%5.61%5.54%2.89%3.94%4.43%5.53%4.00%4.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,898.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,346.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,551.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,779.601,737.251,042.35
Cash Retained (M)3,551.833,551.833,551.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,779.60-1,737.25-1,042.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)772.231,814.582,509.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,792.913,792.913,792.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.480.66
LTM Dividend per Share2.732.732.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.480.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.933.213.39
WACC / Discount Rate5.39%5.39%5.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$618.52$682.92$728.72
Upside / Downside1,487.16%1,652.41%1,769.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,898.0014,801.3715,763.4616,788.0817,879.3119,041.4619,612.71
Payout Ratio74.44%77.55%80.67%83.78%86.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,346.1711,479.1812,715.7814,064.6315,535.1017,137.3218,141.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.39%5.39%5.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,789.5810,891.8510,994.12
Year 2 PV (M)11,233.8811,447.8611,663.85
Year 3 PV (M)11,679.0912,014.3512,355.97
Year 4 PV (M)12,125.1812,591.4813,071.11
Year 5 PV (M)12,572.1813,179.4213,809.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)556,304.72583,174.44611,072.54
Equity Value (M)614,704.63643,299.41672,967.49
Shares Outstanding (M)3,792.913,792.913,792.91
Fair Value$162.07$169.61$177.43
Upside / Downside315.88%335.22%355.29%

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