Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Totens Sparebank (TOTG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,122.19 - $7,212.98$6,759.62
Multi-Stage$1,948.71 - $2,134.07$2,039.68
Blended Fair Value$4,399.65
Current Price$256.45
Upside1,615.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS7.84%19.98%14.0812.308.909.399.959.656.656.655.652.83
YoY Growth--14.42%38.15%-5.18%-5.58%3.06%45.06%0.00%17.69%100.01%24.13%
Dividend Yield--6.23%5.91%3.51%5.98%7.54%7.98%5.74%6.65%6.28%3.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)222.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)193.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.4327.7716.66
Cash Retained (M)28.4428.4428.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.43-27.77-16.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)-15.980.6811.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.126.126.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share-2.610.111.92
LTM Dividend per Share31.6231.6231.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share-2.610.111.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend29.0231.7433.55
WACC / Discount Rate4.98%4.98%4.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6,122.19$6,759.62$7,212.98
Upside / Downside2,287.28%2,535.84%2,712.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)222.13236.57251.95268.32285.76304.34313.47
Payout Ratio87.19%87.76%88.32%88.88%89.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)193.69207.60222.51238.48255.58273.90289.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.98%4.98%4.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)195.89197.75199.60
Year 2 PV (M)198.11201.89205.70
Year 3 PV (M)200.35206.10211.96
Year 4 PV (M)202.61210.40218.41
Year 5 PV (M)204.88214.78225.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,933.1211,461.2012,009.48
Equity Value (M)11,934.9612,492.1113,070.21
Shares Outstanding (M)6.126.126.12
Fair Value$1,948.71$2,039.68$2,134.07
Upside / Downside659.88%695.35%732.16%

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