Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sime Darby Berhad (SIME.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.69 - $30.47$14.36
Multi-Stage$5.68 - $6.20$5.93
Blended Fair Value$10.15
Current Price$2.13
Upside376.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.28%0.84%0.140.140.100.120.090.090.060.190.110.11
YoY Growth--3.58%28.81%-12.38%33.33%0.00%50.00%-68.42%74.83%-0.14%-15.65%
Dividend Yield--6.57%6.34%4.92%5.59%3.96%3.61%2.66%7.26%1.20%1.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,113.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)954.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,159.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)422.60264.13158.48
Cash Retained (M)1,159.001,159.001,159.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-422.60-264.13-158.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)736.40894.881,000.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,816.006,816.006,816.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.270.29
WACC / Discount Rate8.51%8.51%8.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8.69$14.36$30.47
Upside / Downside307.89%574.25%1,330.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,113.002,250.352,396.622,552.402,718.302,894.992,981.84
Payout Ratio45.15%54.12%63.09%72.06%81.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)954.001,217.871,512.011,839.252,202.642,605.492,758.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.51%8.51%8.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,111.801,122.341,132.88
Year 2 PV (M)1,260.111,284.111,308.34
Year 3 PV (M)1,399.331,439.501,480.43
Year 4 PV (M)1,529.861,588.691,649.20
Year 5 PV (M)1,652.061,731.851,814.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,731.3633,264.0034,855.30
Equity Value (M)38,684.5340,430.5042,240.86
Shares Outstanding (M)6,816.006,816.006,816.00
Fair Value$5.68$5.93$6.20
Upside / Downside166.46%178.48%190.95%

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