Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Quality Houses Public Company Limited (QH-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.04 - $1.49$1.26
Multi-Stage$5.23 - $5.79$5.50
Blended Fair Value$3.38
Current Price$1.36
Upside148.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.15%-0.53%0.130.150.110.110.170.210.210.150.160.07
YoY Growth---13.33%36.35%0.00%-35.29%-19.05%0.00%40.00%-6.25%142.89%-51.96%
Dividend Yield--8.57%6.86%4.62%4.86%7.02%11.47%7.16%5.22%6.20%2.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,683.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,071.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)612.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)336.75210.47126.28
Cash Retained (M)612.33612.33612.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-336.75-210.47-126.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)275.58401.86486.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10,548.3410,548.3410,548.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate4.78%4.78%4.78%
Growth Rate-6.69%-5.69%-4.69%
Fair Value$1.04$1.26$1.49
Upside / Downside-23.62%-7.50%9.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,683.761,587.971,497.631,412.431,332.081,256.301,293.99
Payout Ratio63.63%68.91%74.18%79.45%84.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,071.431,094.221,110.941,122.221,128.631,130.671,196.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.78%4.78%4.78%
Growth Rate-6.69%-5.69%-4.69%
Year 1 PV (M)1,033.211,044.281,055.36
Year 2 PV (M)990.521,011.861,033.43
Year 3 PV (M)944.79975.491,006.85
Year 4 PV (M)897.20936.29976.64
Year 5 PV (M)848.72895.18943.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,428.9353,189.6756,070.02
Equity Value (M)55,143.3758,052.7861,085.95
Shares Outstanding (M)10,548.3410,548.3410,548.34
Fair Value$5.23$5.50$5.79
Upside / Downside284.39%304.67%325.81%

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