Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

KLA Corporation (KLAC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$627.25 - $1,387.34$903.72
Multi-Stage$454.03 - $495.82$474.55
Blended Fair Value$689.13
Current Price$1,078.60
Upside-36.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.61%-11.42%6.795.805.504.794.203.923.553.022.582.60
YoY Growth--17.02%5.53%14.73%14.15%7.07%10.62%17.46%16.88%-0.66%-88.61%
Dividend Yield--0.63%0.75%1.20%1.58%1.26%2.02%2.22%3.00%2.44%3.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,236.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)960.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,276.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)847.37529.60317.76
Cash Retained (M)3,276.313,276.313,276.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-847.37-529.60-317.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,428.942,746.712,958.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)133.21133.21133.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.2320.6222.21
LTM Dividend per Share7.217.217.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.2320.6222.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.4427.8329.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$627.25$903.72$1,387.34
Upside / Downside-41.85%-16.21%28.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,236.834,512.234,805.525,117.885,450.545,804.835,978.97
Payout Ratio22.67%36.14%49.60%63.07%76.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)960.521,630.572,383.663,227.764,171.535,224.345,530.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,471.361,485.311,499.25
Year 2 PV (M)1,940.911,977.882,015.20
Year 3 PV (M)2,371.612,439.692,509.06
Year 4 PV (M)2,765.782,872.152,981.55
Year 5 PV (M)3,125.623,276.593,433.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)48,804.7051,161.9853,609.49
Equity Value (M)60,479.9863,213.6066,047.88
Shares Outstanding (M)133.21133.21133.21
Fair Value$454.03$474.55$495.82
Upside / Downside-57.91%-56.00%-54.03%

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