Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Høland og Setskog Sparebank (HSPG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$703.39 - $1,025.39$859.07
Multi-Stage$1,049.53 - $1,153.54$1,100.53
Blended Fair Value$979.80
Current Price$169.98
Upside476.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.64%-2.29%7.007.007.007.005.008.007.505.005.0010.42
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%39.97%-37.49%6.67%50.01%0.00%-52.03%18.09%
Dividend Yield--4.38%5.43%4.93%4.17%3.94%6.78%7.35%5.00%4.81%9.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)64.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.848.024.81
Cash Retained (M)58.0158.0158.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.84-8.02-4.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.1749.9853.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.690.690.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share65.6672.6677.32
LTM Dividend per Share9.009.009.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share65.6672.6677.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend74.6681.6686.32
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate-1.23%-0.23%0.77%
Fair Value$703.39$859.07$1,025.39
Upside / Downside313.81%405.39%503.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)64.2064.0563.9063.7563.6063.4565.35
Payout Ratio9.64%25.72%41.79%57.86%73.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.1916.4726.7036.8847.0257.1060.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate-1.23%-0.23%0.77%
Year 1 PV (M)14.9215.0815.23
Year 2 PV (M)21.9222.3722.82
Year 3 PV (M)27.4428.2929.14
Year 4 PV (M)31.7033.0134.35
Year 5 PV (M)34.8936.6938.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)591.09621.62653.41
Equity Value (M)721.97757.05793.52
Shares Outstanding (M)0.690.690.69
Fair Value$1,049.53$1,100.53$1,153.54
Upside / Downside517.44%547.44%578.63%

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