Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$172.38 - $918.20$311.71
Multi-Stage$100.42 - $109.95$105.10
Blended Fair Value$208.40
Current Price$167.40
Upside24.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.86%-11.26%0.000.000.010.000.000.000.010.000.000.02
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-9.24%0.00%-100.00%-94.71%59.20%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)312.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)312.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.5739.1123.47
Cash Retained (M)312.30312.30312.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.57-39.11-23.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)249.73273.20288.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.6559.6559.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.194.584.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.194.584.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.204.594.85
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$172.38$311.71$918.20
Upside / Downside2.98%86.21%448.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)312.87333.21354.86377.93402.50428.66441.52
Payout Ratio0.18%18.14%36.11%54.07%72.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.5760.46128.14204.36289.94385.79408.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55.4255.9556.47
Year 2 PV (M)107.67109.72111.79
Year 3 PV (M)157.40161.92166.52
Year 4 PV (M)204.71212.58220.68
Year 5 PV (M)249.68261.74274.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,215.345,467.245,728.78
Equity Value (M)5,990.216,269.146,558.50
Shares Outstanding (M)59.6559.6559.65
Fair Value$100.42$105.10$109.95
Upside / Downside-40.01%-37.22%-34.32%

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