Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fibra Shop (FSHOP13.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.39 - $36.45$30.80
Multi-Stage$39.87 - $43.83$41.81
Blended Fair Value$36.30
Current Price$8.86
Upside309.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.420.120.080.450.300.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--250.00%60.00%-83.33%49.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.85%1.93%1.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,414.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)360.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,054.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)482.85301.78181.07
Cash Retained (M)2,054.262,054.262,054.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-482.85-301.78-181.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,571.411,752.481,873.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)663.73663.73663.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.372.642.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.372.642.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.913.183.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.23%9.23%9.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$25.39$30.80$36.45
Upside / Downside186.58%247.59%311.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,414.262,390.122,366.222,342.562,319.132,295.942,364.82
Payout Ratio14.91%29.93%44.95%59.96%74.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)360.00715.341,063.541,404.701,738.942,066.352,187.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.23%9.23%9.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)648.27654.89661.50
Year 2 PV (M)873.46891.37909.47
Year 3 PV (M)1,045.481,077.811,110.80
Year 4 PV (M)1,172.891,221.501,271.61
Year 5 PV (M)1,263.051,328.821,397.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,457.3122,574.6423,738.04
Equity Value (M)26,460.4627,749.0429,088.73
Shares Outstanding (M)663.73663.73663.73
Fair Value$39.87$41.81$43.83
Upside / Downside349.96%371.87%394.65%

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