Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.37 - $37.32$30.42
Multi-Stage$39.75 - $43.64$41.66
Blended Fair Value$36.04
Current Price$53.27
Upside-32.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.56%4.45%0.970.951.191.161.091.000.940.900.800.73
YoY Growth--2.40%-19.78%1.82%7.28%8.37%6.77%4.44%12.32%9.72%15.63%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.12%2.02%1.83%1.33%2.71%2.29%1.84%1.54%1.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)327.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)207.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.5240.9524.57
Cash Retained (M)207.40207.40207.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.52-40.95-24.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)141.88166.45182.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)122.78122.78122.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.361.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.980.980.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.361.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.132.332.47
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate-0.61%0.39%1.39%
Fair Value$24.37$30.42$37.32
Upside / Downside-54.25%-42.90%-29.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)327.60328.89330.18331.48332.78334.09344.11
Payout Ratio36.69%47.35%58.01%68.68%79.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.20155.74191.55227.65264.02300.68318.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate-0.61%0.39%1.39%
Year 1 PV (M)142.63144.07145.50
Year 2 PV (M)160.68163.93167.21
Year 3 PV (M)174.89180.22185.66
Year 4 PV (M)185.77193.36201.18
Year 5 PV (M)193.76203.70214.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,022.964,229.454,444.34
Equity Value (M)4,880.695,114.735,357.94
Shares Outstanding (M)122.78122.78122.78
Fair Value$39.75$41.66$43.64
Upside / Downside-25.37%-21.80%-18.08%

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