Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Central Pacific Financial Corp. (CPF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.32 - $113.92$72.12
Multi-Stage$47.62 - $52.11$49.82
Blended Fair Value$60.97
Current Price$30.34
Upside100.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.83%7.70%1.041.031.050.990.950.950.890.780.690.96
YoY Growth--0.09%-1.36%5.73%3.95%0.89%6.47%13.35%14.39%-28.78%95.02%
Dividend Yield--3.83%5.34%5.86%3.56%3.58%5.95%3.03%2.75%2.24%4.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)65.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.198.244.95
Cash Retained (M)37.0237.0237.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.19-8.24-4.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.8328.7732.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.1727.1727.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.881.061.18
LTM Dividend per Share1.071.071.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.881.061.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.942.122.25
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate3.69%4.69%5.69%
Fair Value$49.32$72.12$113.92
Upside / Downside62.54%137.71%275.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)65.9569.0472.2875.6779.2282.9385.42
Payout Ratio43.87%53.10%62.32%71.55%80.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.9336.6645.0554.1463.9974.6479.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate3.69%4.69%5.69%
Year 1 PV (M)33.6934.0234.34
Year 2 PV (M)38.0538.7839.53
Year 3 PV (M)42.0243.2544.50
Year 4 PV (M)45.6447.4349.27
Year 5 PV (M)48.9351.3453.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,085.271,138.621,194.05
Equity Value (M)1,293.611,353.441,415.53
Shares Outstanding (M)27.1727.1727.17
Fair Value$47.62$49.82$52.11
Upside / Downside56.95%64.21%71.74%

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