Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Altur Investissement SCA, SCR (ALTUR.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.67 - $46.25$39.37
Multi-Stage$50.09 - $54.92$52.46
Blended Fair Value$45.92
Current Price$8.50
Upside440.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS39.97%0.00%1.310.430.100.380.570.240.260.240.000.00
YoY Growth--208.41%336.43%-74.04%-34.60%135.11%-6.91%7.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--17.53%7.33%1.86%6.26%10.71%4.04%5.33%5.51%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.082.551.53
Cash Retained (M)12.8412.8412.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.08-2.55-1.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.7610.2911.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.084.084.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.142.522.77
LTM Dividend per Share1.861.861.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.142.522.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.004.374.62
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$32.67$39.37$46.25
Upside / Downside284.31%363.23%444.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.4220.2220.0219.8219.6219.4220.00
Payout Ratio37.11%47.69%58.27%68.85%79.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.589.6411.6613.6415.5817.4818.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.688.778.85
Year 2 PV (M)9.459.649.83
Year 3 PV (M)9.9410.2510.56
Year 4 PV (M)10.2210.6411.08
Year 5 PV (M)10.3210.8511.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)156.01164.14172.60
Equity Value (M)204.61214.29224.34
Shares Outstanding (M)4.084.084.08
Fair Value$50.09$52.46$54.92
Upside / Downside489.33%517.20%546.15%

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