Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Allos S.A. (ALOS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.13 - $73.50$45.86
Multi-Stage$23.64 - $25.73$24.67
Blended Fair Value$35.26
Current Price$25.83
Upside36.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.85%36.16%1.490.570.200.120.000.170.050.070.070.07
YoY Growth--160.10%187.21%69.97%0.00%-100.00%262.04%-32.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.81%2.43%1.14%0.51%0.00%0.63%0.16%0.28%0.31%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)750.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)609.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)141.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)150.1093.8156.29
Cash Retained (M)141.51141.51141.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-150.10-93.81-56.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.6047.6985.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)509.72509.72509.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.090.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.191.191.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.090.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31.13$45.86$73.50
Upside / Downside20.52%77.53%184.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)750.51799.29851.24906.57965.501,028.261,059.10
Payout Ratio81.15%82.92%84.69%86.46%88.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)609.00662.74720.89783.81851.85925.43979.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)599.60605.29610.97
Year 2 PV (M)590.08601.32612.66
Year 3 PV (M)580.46597.12614.10
Year 4 PV (M)570.75592.70615.27
Year 5 PV (M)560.98588.07616.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,147.419,589.2310,047.96
Equity Value (M)12,049.2712,573.7213,117.17
Shares Outstanding (M)509.72509.72509.72
Fair Value$23.64$24.67$25.73
Upside / Downside-8.48%-4.50%-0.37%

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