Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Centurion Acquisition Corp. (ALF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.68 - $5.71$4.61
Multi-Stage$8.55 - $9.41$8.97
Blended Fair Value$6.79
Current Price$10.55
Upside-35.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.431.520.91
Cash Retained (M)5.905.905.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.43-1.52-0.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.474.384.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.0331.0331.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.140.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.140.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.68$4.61$5.71
Upside / Downside-65.16%-56.26%-45.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.1312.0111.8911.7711.6511.5311.88
Payout Ratio51.38%59.10%66.83%74.55%82.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.237.107.948.779.5910.3810.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6.616.676.74
Year 2 PV (M)6.887.037.17
Year 3 PV (M)7.087.307.52
Year 4 PV (M)7.207.507.80
Year 5 PV (M)7.267.638.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)230.27242.26254.74
Equity Value (M)265.29278.39292.01
Shares Outstanding (M)31.0331.0331.03
Fair Value$8.55$8.97$9.41
Upside / Downside-18.97%-14.97%-10.81%

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