Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sarawak Plantation Berhad (5135.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.99 - $15.75$10.13
Multi-Stage$5.25 - $5.72$5.48
Blended Fair Value$7.81
Current Price$2.72
Upside187.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS37.97%0.00%0.250.150.200.100.050.050.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--66.66%-25.00%100.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.78%6.94%9.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)96.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.3612.107.26
Cash Retained (M)41.0141.0141.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.36-12.10-7.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.6428.9133.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)279.03279.03279.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.99$10.13$15.75
Upside / Downside156.92%272.59%479.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)96.81103.11109.81116.95124.55132.64136.62
Payout Ratio57.64%64.11%70.59%77.06%83.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.8166.1177.5190.11104.03119.38126.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)59.7060.2760.83
Year 2 PV (M)63.2164.4265.63
Year 3 PV (M)66.3768.2870.22
Year 4 PV (M)69.2071.8674.60
Year 5 PV (M)71.7175.1878.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,134.711,189.521,246.42
Equity Value (M)1,464.911,529.521,596.48
Shares Outstanding (M)279.03279.03279.03
Fair Value$5.25$5.48$5.72
Upside / Downside93.01%101.53%110.35%

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