Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zoetis Inc. (0M3Q.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$523.43 - $1,179.59$1,105.45
Multi-Stage$175.57 - $192.21$183.73
Blended Fair Value$644.59
Current Price$146.32
Upside340.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.14%18.33%1.761.551.371.060.850.700.540.460.420.38
YoY Growth--13.58%13.26%28.90%24.74%21.02%29.22%17.96%9.57%11.90%15.07%
Dividend Yield--1.07%0.93%0.82%0.56%0.54%0.60%0.54%0.55%0.79%0.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,651.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)863.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,788.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)530.20331.38198.83
Cash Retained (M)1,788.001,788.001,788.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-530.20-331.38-198.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,257.801,456.631,589.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)446.95446.95446.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.813.263.56
LTM Dividend per Share1.931.931.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.813.263.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.755.195.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$523.43$1,105.45$1,179.59
Upside / Downside257.73%655.50%706.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,651.002,823.323,006.833,202.273,410.423,632.103,741.06
Payout Ratio32.55%44.04%55.53%67.02%78.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)863.001,243.471,669.762,146.212,677.553,268.893,460.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,157.091,168.061,179.03
Year 2 PV (M)1,445.831,473.371,501.17
Year 3 PV (M)1,729.281,778.921,829.51
Year 4 PV (M)2,007.532,084.732,164.14
Year 5 PV (M)2,280.642,390.792,505.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)69,850.6673,224.4776,727.41
Equity Value (M)78,471.0382,120.3585,906.41
Shares Outstanding (M)446.95446.95446.95
Fair Value$175.57$183.73$192.21
Upside / Downside19.99%25.57%31.36%

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