Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cardinal Health, Inc. (0HTG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Equipment & ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$195.87 - $919.66$345.90
Multi-Stage$572.46 - $632.11$601.69
Blended Fair Value$473.80
Current Price$156.96
Upside201.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-2.79%0.72%2.052.072.182.322.382.362.402.412.402.13
YoY Growth---1.00%-4.95%-6.08%-2.44%0.70%-1.39%-0.69%0.69%12.70%11.30%
Dividend Yield--1.31%1.88%2.51%3.48%4.81%5.03%5.08%4.47%3.58%2.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,595.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)495.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,100.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)319.00199.38119.63
Cash Retained (M)1,100.001,100.001,100.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-319.00-199.38-119.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)781.00900.63980.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)240.75240.75240.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.243.744.07
LTM Dividend per Share2.062.062.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.243.744.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.305.806.13
WACC / Discount Rate1.39%1.39%1.39%
Growth Rate-1.28%-0.28%0.72%
Fair Value$195.87$345.90$919.66
Upside / Downside24.79%120.38%485.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,595.001,590.461,585.941,581.431,576.931,572.451,619.62
Payout Ratio31.03%42.83%54.62%66.41%78.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)495.00681.16866.251,050.291,233.271,415.211,498.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.39%1.39%1.39%
Growth Rate-1.28%-0.28%0.72%
Year 1 PV (M)665.10671.84678.58
Year 2 PV (M)825.90842.72859.70
Year 3 PV (M)977.761,007.781,038.40
Year 4 PV (M)1,121.051,167.171,214.70
Year 5 PV (M)1,256.111,321.031,388.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)132,972.87139,845.86147,000.16
Equity Value (M)137,818.79144,856.40152,180.15
Shares Outstanding (M)240.75240.75240.75
Fair Value$572.46$601.69$632.11
Upside / Downside264.71%283.34%302.72%

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