Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $11,686.46 - $65,469.76 | $22,276.96 |
| Multi-Stage | $9,070.22 - $9,938.83 | $9,496.45 |
| Blended Fair Value | $15,886.70 | |
| Current Price | $2,370.00 | |
| Upside | 570.32% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 22.42% | 4.28% | 88.16 | 128.38 | 64.77 | 65.60 | 40.74 | 32.06 | 31.81 | 39.32 | 39.10 | 49.67 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -31.33% | 98.22% | -1.28% | 61.03% | 27.06% | 0.80% | -19.10% | 0.58% | -21.28% | -14.31% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.58% | 6.72% | 4.61% | 4.45% | 2.75% | 3.32% | 1.79% | 2.42% | 1.99% | 2.52% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,501,326.41 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 504,656.46 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 996,669.95 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 300,265.28 | 187,665.80 | 112,599.48 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 996,669.95 | 996,669.95 | 996,669.95 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -300,265.28 | -187,665.80 | -112,599.48 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 696,404.67 | 809,004.15 | 884,070.47 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 4,503.58 | 4,503.58 | 4,503.58 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 154.63 | 179.64 | 196.30 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 112.06 | 112.06 | 112.06 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 154.63 | 179.64 | 196.30 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 266.69 | 291.69 | 308.36 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.53% | 6.53% | 6.53% |
| Growth Rate | 4.16% | 5.16% | 6.16% |
| Fair Value | $11,686.46 | $22,276.96 | $65,469.76 |
| Upside / Downside | 393.10% | 839.96% | 2,662.44% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,501,326.41 | 1,578,760.62 | 1,660,188.67 | 1,745,816.55 | 1,835,860.88 | 1,930,549.45 | 1,988,465.93 |
| Payout Ratio | 33.61% | 44.89% | 56.17% | 67.45% | 78.72% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 504,656.46 | 708,725.09 | 932,501.81 | 1,177,476.73 | 1,445,241.24 | 1,737,494.50 | 1,839,330.99 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.53% | 6.53% | 6.53% |
| Growth Rate | 4.16% | 5.16% | 6.16% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 658,926.90 | 665,253.15 | 671,579.39 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 806,062.19 | 821,614.21 | 837,314.83 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 946,303.91 | 973,822.32 | 1,001,869.11 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,079,886.42 | 1,121,958.69 | 1,165,248.49 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,207,037.07 | 1,266,103.15 | 1,327,459.24 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 36,150,228.41 | 37,919,231.65 | 39,756,819.53 |
| Equity Value (M) | 40,848,444.89 | 42,767,983.16 | 44,760,290.59 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 4,503.58 | 4,503.58 | 4,503.58 |
| Fair Value | $9,070.22 | $9,496.45 | $9,938.83 |
| Upside / Downside | 282.71% | 300.69% | 319.36% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THFF | First Financial Corporation | 3.32% | $1.98 | 31.67% |
| IRDM | Iridium Communications Inc. | 3.31% | $0.59 | 49.66% |
| PDCO | Patterson Companies, Inc. | 3.31% | $1.04 | 66.64% |
| 0HRZ.L | Coterra Energy Inc. | 3.30% | $0.88 | 40.64% |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies, Inc. | 3.30% | $0.57 | 33.33% |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. | 3.30% | $0.92 | 78.89% |
| SPB | Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. | 3.30% | $1.98 | 48.25% |
| 0IUX.L | Genuine Parts Company | 3.29% | $4.05 | 69.77% |
| BG | Bunge Global S.A. | 3.29% | $3.05 | 31.37% |
| HDGCX | The Hartford Dividend and Growth Fund Class C | 3.29% | $1.08 | 20.58% |
| PSBD | Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. | 3.29% | $0.40 | 90.32% |
| LIEN | Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. | 3.28% | $0.34 | 23.50% |
| REXR | Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | 3.28% | $1.28 | 90.14% |
| CVCY | Central Valley Community Bancorp | 3.27% | $0.58 | 32.80% |
| F-PD | Ford Motor Company 6.500% Notes | 3.27% | $0.74 | 63.45% |
| FSBW | FS Bancorp, Inc. | 3.27% | $1.33 | 31.78% |
| TRNO | Terreno Realty Corporation | 3.27% | $1.93 | 62.02% |
| 0I1P.L | Comerica Incorporated | 3.26% | $2.82 | 52.30% |
| ALEX | Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. | 3.26% | $0.67 | 66.95% |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | 3.26% | $0.85 | 78.30% |
| AGM-PC | Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation | 3.24% | $7.85 | 39.89% |
| HTO | H2O America | 3.24% | $1.60 | 52.08% |
| WEC | WEC Energy Group, Inc. | 3.24% | $3.45 | 66.21% |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil Corporation | 3.24% | $3.98 | 57.54% |
| SCL | Stepan Company | 3.22% | $1.52 | 76.82% |
| HBT | HBT Financial, Inc. | 3.21% | $0.83 | 33.20% |
| KALU | Kaiser Aluminum Corporation | 3.21% | $3.86 | 70.13% |
| SMP | Standard Motor Products, Inc. | 3.20% | $1.18 | 38.74% |
| 0QZA.L | ConocoPhillips | 3.19% | $3.09 | 43.65% |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group, Inc. | 3.18% | $5.04 | 35.22% |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial, Inc. | 3.17% | $0.96 | 52.57% |
| ED | Consolidated Edison, Inc. | 3.17% | $3.17 | 56.36% |
| LARK | Landmark Bancorp, Inc. | 3.17% | $0.82 | 38.75% |
| NBPU.L | NB Private Equity Partners Limited | 3.17% | $0.67 | 70.20% |
| PFBC | Preferred Bank | 3.16% | $3.03 | 29.67% |
| HNI | HNI Corporation | 3.15% | $1.34 | 44.63% |
| RBB | RBB Bancorp | 3.15% | $0.64 | 43.45% |
| FG | F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. | 3.14% | $0.94 | 28.23% |
| NBHC | National Bank Holdings Corporation | 3.14% | $1.19 | 37.27% |
| 0KZA.L | SM Energy Company | 3.13% | $0.60 | 9.44% |
| CBU | Community Bank System, Inc. | 3.13% | $1.82 | 46.85% |
| DTE | DTE Energy Company | 3.13% | $4.08 | 87.19% |
| RNST | Renasant Corporation | 3.13% | $1.11 | 48.14% |
| BSRR | Sierra Bancorp | 3.11% | $1.01 | 34.68% |
| FCF | First Commonwealth Financial Corporation | 3.11% | $0.52 | 38.19% |
| PNC | The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 3.11% | $6.57 | 39.89% |
| PRK | Park National Corporation | 3.11% | $4.80 | 44.20% |
| GEF | Greif, Inc. | 3.10% | $2.12 | 12.04% |
| 0QAH.L | Merck & Co., Inc. | 3.09% | $3.25 | 42.60% |
| BANR | Banner Corporation | 3.09% | $1.93 | 35.15% |