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ConocoPhillips

ID: 0QZA.L SECTOR: Energy INDUSTRY: Oil & Gas Energy
122.91
+0.84 (0.69%)
Ref: 2026-04-13
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $136.63 - $220.76 $172.51
Multi-Stage DDM $85.17 - $93.30 $89.16
Blended Fair Value $130.84
Stock Price$115.50

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 3.3393.0884.6314.4801.7761.6981.3351.1591.0691.006
YoY % 8.13%-33.32%3.36%152.22%4.57%27.22%15.14%8.49%6.23%-65.90%
Yield 2.89%2.67%4.01%3.88%1.54%1.47%1.16%1.00%0.93%0.87%

CAGRValue
5 Year14.47%
10 Year1.24%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 2.52% to 4.52% 3.52%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $136.63 - $220.76 $172.51

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 7,930.00 7,930.00 7,930.00
(=) Cash Required 1,586.00 991.25 594.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share 5.30 5.80 6.13
LTM Dividend per Share 3.339 3.339 3.339
(=) Adjusted Dividend 8.640 9.137 9.469

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 7,930.00 8,208.908,497.618,796.479,105.849,426.10
Projected Dividends 3,995.00 2,052.223,484.025,013.996,647.278,483.49

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 1,946.69 1,965.67 1,984.66
Year 2 PV 3,002.68 3,061.55 3,120.98
Year 3 PV 3,926.18 4,042.19 4,160.47
Year 4 PV 4,729.19 4,916.43 5,109.18
Year 5 PV 5,483.73 5,756.46 6,039.92
TV PV 82,827.30 86,946.57 91,228.12
Equity Value 101,915.77 106,688.87 111,643.35
Fair Value $85.17 $89.16 $93.30

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ARDC ARDC 19.91% $2.65 77.10%
JGH JGH 19.71% $2.48 70.08%
BSL BSL 19.66% $2.65 95.83%
RGT RGT 19.58% $2.56 37.89%
AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
PFN PFN 19.43% $1.46 72.85%
JLS JLS 19.40% $3.53 84.31%
ACV ACV 19.28% $5.07 72.66%
BGB BGB 19.19% $2.26 86.72%
PHK PHK 19.11% $0.93 86.61%
DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
BSTZ BSTZ 15.35% $3.54 65.39%
FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%