Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tufton Oceanic Assets Limited (SHPP.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.47 - $0.67$0.57
Multi-Stage$0.79 - $0.86$0.82
Blended Fair Value$0.69
Current Price$0.85
Upside-18.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.090.080.080.060.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%3.43%5.56%39.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%8.80%10.53%7.72%5.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.462.161.30
Cash Retained (M)1.061.061.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.46-2.16-1.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.40-1.10-0.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)240.06240.06240.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.07
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.47$0.57$0.67
Upside / Downside-44.68%-33.32%-21.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.2817.1016.9316.7616.6016.4316.92
Payout Ratio93.87%93.10%92.32%91.55%90.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.2215.9215.6315.3515.0614.7915.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14.3314.4814.62
Year 2 PV (M)12.6612.9213.18
Year 3 PV (M)11.1811.5311.88
Year 4 PV (M)9.8810.2910.71
Year 5 PV (M)8.739.189.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)131.98138.85146.01
Equity Value (M)188.76197.25206.06
Shares Outstanding (M)240.06240.06240.06
Fair Value$0.79$0.82$0.86
Upside / Downside-7.49%-3.33%0.99%

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