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Rana Gruber ASA (RANA.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.76 - $117.62$95.12
Multi-Stage$180.80 - $198.74$189.60
Blended Fair Value$142.36
Current Price$68.90
Upside106.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%9.2411.086.1711.120.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---16.68%79.74%-44.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--13.60%14.32%10.13%16.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)298.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)250.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.7437.3422.40
Cash Retained (M)48.4048.4048.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.74-37.34-22.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)-11.3511.0625.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.1037.1037.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.310.300.70
LTM Dividend per Share6.756.756.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.310.300.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.447.047.45
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$75.76$95.12$117.62
Upside / Downside9.95%38.06%70.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)298.72295.73292.78289.85286.95284.08292.60
Payout Ratio83.80%85.04%86.28%87.52%88.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)250.32251.49252.61253.67254.70255.67270.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)234.12236.51238.90
Year 2 PV (M)218.93223.42227.95
Year 3 PV (M)204.67211.00217.46
Year 4 PV (M)191.31199.24207.41
Year 5 PV (M)178.78188.09197.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,680.785,976.596,284.60
Equity Value (M)6,708.607,034.857,374.11
Shares Outstanding (M)37.1037.1037.10
Fair Value$180.80$189.60$198.74
Upside / Downside162.42%175.18%188.45%

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