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DTE Energy Company JR SUB DB 2017 E (DTW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.82 - $65.44$53.40
Multi-Stage$64.46 - $70.41$67.38
Blended Fair Value$60.39
Current Price$141.43
Upside-57.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.32%5.14%3.753.633.313.823.673.342.992.862.562.42
YoY Growth--3.19%9.78%-13.40%4.08%9.83%11.61%4.73%11.49%5.99%6.60%
Dividend Yield--2.71%3.28%3.02%2.89%3.24%4.14%2.84%3.22%2.95%3.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)968.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)844.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)193.60121.0072.60
Cash Retained (M)124.01124.01124.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-193.60-121.00-72.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)-69.593.0151.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)207.04207.04207.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.340.010.25
LTM Dividend per Share4.084.084.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.340.010.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.744.094.32
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Fair Value$42.82$53.40$65.44
Upside / Downside-69.72%-62.24%-53.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)968.01980.77993.691,006.791,020.051,033.491,064.50
Payout Ratio87.19%87.75%88.31%88.88%89.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)844.00860.64877.56894.79912.31930.15984.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Year 1 PV (M)781.21788.99796.78
Year 2 PV (M)723.06737.54752.18
Year 3 PV (M)669.21689.42710.04
Year 4 PV (M)619.34644.41670.23
Year 5 PV (M)573.17602.32632.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,979.7410,487.1611,015.02
Equity Value (M)13,345.7313,949.8514,576.88
Shares Outstanding (M)207.04207.04207.04
Fair Value$64.46$67.38$70.41
Upside / Downside-54.42%-52.36%-50.22%

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