Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Full Access

See Pricing Start Trial

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TruckingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.82 - $25.31$19.37
Multi-Stage$16.39 - $17.95$17.16
Blended Fair Value$18.27
Current Price$21.66
Upside-15.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.210.210.160.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.26%34.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.95%0.91%0.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.444.032.42
Cash Retained (M)25.3525.3525.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.44-4.03-2.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.9121.3322.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.6227.6227.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.770.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.770.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.931.021.08
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate2.64%3.64%4.64%
Fair Value$14.82$19.37$25.31
Upside / Downside-31.56%-10.56%16.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.2233.3934.6035.8637.1738.5239.67
Payout Ratio21.30%35.04%48.78%62.52%76.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.8611.7016.8822.4228.3434.6736.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate2.64%3.64%4.64%
Year 1 PV (M)10.6210.7210.83
Year 2 PV (M)13.9114.1814.46
Year 3 PV (M)16.7717.2717.77
Year 4 PV (M)19.2520.0120.79
Year 5 PV (M)21.3722.4323.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)370.96389.38408.54
Equity Value (M)452.87473.99495.91
Shares Outstanding (M)27.6227.6227.62
Fair Value$16.39$17.16$17.95
Upside / Downside-24.31%-20.78%-17.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 11 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
THFFFirst Financial Corporation3.32%$1.9831.67%
IRDMIridium Communications Inc.3.31%$0.5949.66%
PDCOPatterson Companies, Inc.3.31%$1.0466.64%
0HRZ.LCoterra Energy Inc.3.30%$0.8840.64%
ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.3.30%$0.5733.33%
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.3.30%$0.9278.89%
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.3.30%$1.9848.25%
0IUX.LGenuine Parts Company3.29%$4.0569.77%
BGBunge Global S.A.3.29%$3.0531.37%
HDGCXThe Hartford Dividend and Growth Fund Class C3.29%$1.0820.58%
PSBDPalmer Square Capital BDC Inc.3.29%$0.4090.32%
LIENChicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.3.28%$0.3423.50%
REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc.3.28%$1.2890.14%
CVCYCentral Valley Community Bancorp3.27%$0.5832.80%
F-PDFord Motor Company 6.500% Notes3.27%$0.7463.45%
FSBWFS Bancorp, Inc.3.27%$1.3331.78%
TRNOTerreno Realty Corporation3.27%$1.9362.02%
0I1P.LComerica Incorporated3.26%$2.8252.30%
ALEXAlexander & Baldwin, Inc.3.26%$0.6766.95%
BRXBrixmor Property Group Inc.3.26%$0.8578.30%
AGM-PCFederal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation3.24%$7.8539.89%
HTOH2O America3.24%$1.6052.08%
WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.3.24%$3.4566.21%
XOMExxon Mobil Corporation3.24%$3.9857.54%
SCLStepan Company3.22%$1.5276.82%
HBTHBT Financial, Inc.3.21%$0.8333.20%
KALUKaiser Aluminum Corporation3.21%$3.8670.13%
SMPStandard Motor Products, Inc.3.20%$1.1838.74%
0QZA.LConocoPhillips3.19%$3.0943.65%
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.3.18%$5.0435.22%
CRBGCorebridge Financial, Inc.3.17%$0.9652.57%
EDConsolidated Edison, Inc.3.17%$3.1756.36%
LARKLandmark Bancorp, Inc.3.17%$0.8238.75%
NBPU.LNB Private Equity Partners Limited3.17%$0.6770.20%
PFBCPreferred Bank3.16%$3.0329.67%
HNIHNI Corporation3.15%$1.3444.63%
RBBRBB Bancorp3.15%$0.6443.45%
FGF&G Annuities & Life, Inc.3.14%$0.9428.23%
NBHCNational Bank Holdings Corporation3.14%$1.1937.27%
0KZA.LSM Energy Company3.13%$0.609.44%
CBUCommunity Bank System, Inc.3.13%$1.8246.85%
DTEDTE Energy Company3.13%$4.0887.19%
RNSTRenasant Corporation3.13%$1.1148.14%
BSRRSierra Bancorp3.11%$1.0134.68%
FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial Corporation3.11%$0.5238.19%
PNCThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.3.11%$6.5739.89%
PRKPark National Corporation3.11%$4.8044.20%
GEFGreif, Inc.3.10%$2.1212.04%
0QAH.LMerck & Co., Inc.3.09%$3.2542.60%
BANRBanner Corporation3.09%$1.9335.15%