Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Brunner Investment Trust PLC (BUT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.21 - $55.02$42.86
Multi-Stage$35.58 - $38.96$37.24
Blended Fair Value$40.05
Current Price$13.90
Upside188.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.85%4.73%0.230.220.210.200.200.190.180.160.160.15
YoY Growth--4.93%5.94%4.62%0.60%3.25%10.06%8.50%3.90%1.17%4.72%
Dividend Yield--1.60%2.09%2.06%1.91%2.37%2.24%2.35%2.06%2.63%2.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)120.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.0015.009.00
Cash Retained (M)102.49102.49102.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.00-15.00-9.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)78.4987.4993.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.8442.8442.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.832.042.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.832.042.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate9.67%9.67%9.67%
Growth Rate2.73%3.73%4.73%
Fair Value$33.21$42.86$55.02
Upside / Downside138.93%208.34%295.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)120.02124.51129.15133.98138.98144.17148.49
Payout Ratio14.61%29.69%44.76%59.84%74.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.5336.9657.8280.18104.12129.75137.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.67%9.67%9.67%
Growth Rate2.73%3.73%4.73%
Year 1 PV (M)33.3833.7034.03
Year 2 PV (M)47.1548.0749.00
Year 3 PV (M)59.0560.7962.56
Year 4 PV (M)69.2571.9974.80
Year 5 PV (M)77.9381.7985.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,237.291,298.691,362.50
Equity Value (M)1,524.031,595.031,668.71
Shares Outstanding (M)42.8442.8442.84
Fair Value$35.58$37.24$38.96
Upside / Downside155.96%167.88%180.26%

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