Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

UNIC Technology Corp. (5452.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.34 - $3.46$2.87
Multi-Stage$7.51 - $8.29$7.89
Blended Fair Value$5.38
Current Price$24.80
Upside-78.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.59%-3.67%0.150.510.810.610.220.200.000.150.200.15
YoY Growth---70.00%-37.50%33.33%172.73%10.00%0.00%-100.00%-25.00%33.33%-31.18%
Dividend Yield--0.56%2.00%4.03%2.90%0.77%3.83%0.00%1.71%2.04%1.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)22.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.915.573.34
Cash Retained (M)22.2322.2322.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.91-5.57-3.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.3216.6618.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.03147.03147.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.270.28
WACC / Discount Rate5.64%5.64%5.64%
Growth Rate-4.29%-3.29%-2.29%
Fair Value$2.34$2.87$3.46
Upside / Downside-90.57%-88.41%-86.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.5543.0841.6740.3038.9737.6938.82
Payout Ratio50.09%58.07%66.06%74.04%82.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.3225.0227.5229.8431.9733.9235.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.64%5.64%5.64%
Growth Rate-4.29%-3.29%-2.29%
Year 1 PV (M)23.4423.6923.93
Year 2 PV (M)24.1624.6625.18
Year 3 PV (M)24.5325.3126.10
Year 4 PV (M)24.6225.6726.75
Year 5 PV (M)24.4825.7927.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)982.831,035.251,089.89
Equity Value (M)1,104.061,160.371,219.00
Shares Outstanding (M)147.03147.03147.03
Fair Value$7.51$7.89$8.29
Upside / Downside-69.72%-68.18%-66.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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